The World Health Organisation (WHO) has predicted that the number of cancer cases will reach 24 million a year by 2035, due to demographic factors including population increases and an increasingly ageing population. The WHO recommends more focus on cancer prevention, tackling risk factors such as smoking, diet, obesity and drinking.
“Fourteen million people a year are diagnosed with cancer, but that is predicted to increase to 19 million by 2025, 22 million by 2030 and 24 million by 2035”.
Cancer ‘tidal wave’ on horizon, warns WHO. London: BBC Health News, February 4th 2014.
Lifestyle Versus Chance?: Both Actually
More than four in ten cancers – perhaps 600,000 cases in the UK yearly – might be preventable if people led healthier lives, according to Cancer Research UK.
Life choices ‘behind more than four in 10 cancers’. London: BBC Health News, December 26th 2014.
Alternative (actually complementary) evidence suggests that the risk of developing most types of cancer could be due to bad luck (i.e. chance, dependent on the rates at which stem cells in different tissues divide, and so pick-up random mutations) rather than modifiable risk factors such as smoking:
Gallagher, J. (2014). Most cancer types ‘just bad luck’. London: BBC Health News, January 2nd 2015.
This relates to:
Full Text Link (Note: This article requires a suitable Athens password, a journal subscription or payment for access).
Tomasetti, C. [and] Vogelstein, B. (2014). Variation in cancer risk among tissues can be explained by the number of stem cell divisions. Science. January 2nd 2015, Vol.347(6217), pp.78-81.
Estimates Revised Upwards
New estimates in the British Journal of Cancer indicate that one in two people in the UK could develop cancer at some point, although healthy lifestyle choices might prevent many cases.
Gallagher, J. (2015). ‘Half of UK people’ will get cancer. London: BBC Health News, February 4th 2015.
This relates to:
Ahmad, A. Ormiston-Smith, N. [and] Sasieni, PD. (2015). Trends in the lifetime risk of developing cancer in Great Britain: comparison of risk for those born from 1930 to 1960. British Journal of Cancer. February 3rd 2015. [Epub ahead of print].